Lane’s Oscar Nomination Predictions 2021/2022
Well, it’s finally that time of year again: the day before the Academy announces their nominees for the 2021/2022 Academy Awards.
As always, the academy can make calls some weird calls, especially in the directing and technical categories, but I’d be surprised if they went with any nominees who weren’t somewhere on this list.
Below, I have given my predictions for each category as well as marked the films I believe should win in each category based on the films I have seen so far among the likely nominees.
Picture:
1. Nomadland (Searchlight/Hulu)
2. Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix/Paramount)
3. Minari (A24)
4. Promising Young Woman (Focus)
5. One Night in Miami… (Amazon)
6. Mank (Netflix)
7. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
8. Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
9. Sound of Metal (Amazon)
10. The Father (Sony Classics)
11. News of the World (Universal)
12. Soul (Disney/Pixar)
13. Da 5 Bloods (Netflix) ** SHOULD**
14. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (Amazon)
15. The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Hulu)
Best Director:
1. Chloe Zhao — Nomadland ** SHOULD**
2. Lee Isaac Chung — Minari
3. David Fincher — Mank
4. Aaron Sorkin — The Trial of the Chicago 7
5. Emerald Fennell — Promising Young Woman
6. Regina King — One Night in Miami…
7. Spike Lee — Da 5 Bloods
8. Paul Greengrass — News of the World
9. Florian Zeller — The Father
10. Shaka King — Judas and the Black Messiah
Best Actor:
1. Chadwick Bozeman — Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom **SHOULD**
2. Anthony Hopkins — The Father
3. Riz Ahmed — Sound of Metal
4. Gary Oldman — Mank
5. Steven Yuen — Minari
6. Delroy Lindo — Da 5 Bloods **SHOULD**
7. Kingsley Ben-Adir — One Night in Miami…
8. Tahar Rahim — The Mauritanian
9. Mads Mikkelsen — Another Round
10. Tom Hanks — News of the World
Best Actress:
1. Carey Mulligan — Promising Young Woman **SHOULD**
2. Viola Davis — Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
3. Francis McDormand — Nomadland
4. Andra Day — The United States vs. Billie Holliday
5. Vanessa Kirby — Pieces of a Woman
6. Yeri Han — Minari
7. Zendaya — Malcolm and Marie
8. Sophia Loren — The Life Ahead
9. Amy Adams — Hillbilly Elegy
10. Michelle Pfeiffer — French Exit
Best Supporting Actress:
1. Olivia Coleman — The Father
2. Yuh-Jung Youn — Minari
3. Maria Bakalova — Borat Subsequent Moviefilm **SHOULD**
4. Amanda Seyfried — Mank
5. Glenn Close — Hillbilly Elegy
6. Helena Zengel — News of the World
7. Jodie Foster — The Mauritanian
8. Ellen Burstyn — Pieces of a Woman
9. Saiorse Ronan — Ammonite
10. Laverne Cox — Promising Young Woman
Best Supporting Actor:
1. Daniel Kaluuya — Judas and the Black Messiah
2. Leslie Odom Jr. — One Night in Miami…
3. Sasha Baron Cohen — The Trial of the Chicago 7 **SHOULD**
4. Paul Raci — The Sound of Metal
5. Chadwick Bozeman — Da 5 Bloods
6. Jared Leto — The Little Things
7. David Strathairn — Nomadland
8. Mark Rylance — The Trial of the Chicago 7
9. Bill Murray — On the Rocks
10. Alan Kim — Minari
Best Adapted Screenplay:
1. Nomadland — Written by Chloé Zhao; Besed on the Book by Jessica Bruder **SHOULD**
2. One Night in Miami… — Screenplay by Kemp Powers; Based on his Play
3. The Father — Screenplay by Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller; Based on Zeller’s Play
4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom — Screenplay by Ruben Santiago-Hudson; Based on the Play by August Wilson
5. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm — Story by Sasha Baron Cohen, Anthony Hines, Nina Pedrad, and Dan Swimmer; Screenplay by Peter Baynhan, Sasha Baron Cohen, Jen Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja, and Dan Swimmer; Based on a Character by Sasha Baron Cohen
6. News of the World — Screenplay by Luke Davies and Paul Greengrass; Based on the Nobel by Paulette Jiles
7. The White Tiger — Screenplay by Ramin Bahrani; Based on the Book by Aravind Adiga
8. The Mauritanian — Story by M.B. Traven; Screenplay by Rory Haines, Sohrib Noshirvani, and M.B. Traven; Based on the Book by Mohamedou Ould Slahi, as edited by Larry Siems
9. I’m Thinking of Ending Things — Screenplay by Charlie Kaufman; Based on the Novel by Ian Reid
10. Emma. — Screenplay by Elizabeth Catton; Based on the Novel Emma by Jane Austen
Best Original Screenplay:
1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 — Written by Aaron Sorkin
2. Promising Young Woman — Written by Emerald Fennell **SHOULD**
3. Minari — Written by Lee Isaac Chung
4. Mank — Written by Jack Fincher
5. Sound of Metal — Story by Derek Cianfrance and Darius Marder; Screenplay by Abraham & Darius Marder
6. Soul — Story & Screenplay by Pete Doctor, Mike Jones, and Kemp Powers
7. Judas and the Black Messiah — Story by Will Berson & Shaka King and Keith & Kenneth Lucas; Screenplay by Will Berson & Shaka
8. Da 5 Bloods — Written by Danny Bilson & Paul De Mio and Spike Lee & Kevin Willmont
9. On the Rocks — Written by Sofia Coppola
10. Palm Springs — Story & Screenplay by Andy Siara
Best Cinematography:
1. Mank — Eric Messerscmidt
2. Nomadland — Joshua James Richards
3. News of the World — Dariusz Wolski
4. Tenet — Hoyte Van Hoytema
5. The Trial of the Chicago 7 — Phedon Papamichael
6. Da 5 Bloods — Newton Thomas Siegel **SHOULD**
7. Judas and the Black Messiah — Sean Bobbitt
8. Minari — Lachlan Milne
9. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom — Tobias Schliessler
10. First Cow — Christopher Blauvert
Best Costume Design:
1. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom — Ann Roth
2. Emma. — Alexandra Byrne **SHOULD**
3. Mank — Trish Summerville
4. Mulan — Mina Daigeler
5. News of the World — Mark Bridges
6. The United States vs Billie Holiday — Paolo Niuddi
7. The Personal History of David Copperfield — Suzie Harmon and Robert Wolley
8. Birds of Prey — Eric Benach and Helen Huang **SHOULD**
9. Promising Young Woman — Nancy Steiner
10. Trial of the Chicago 7 — Susan Lyall
Best Film Editing:
1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 — Alan Baumgarten
2. Nomadland — Chloe Zhao **SHOULD**
3. Mank — Kirk Baxter
4. Tenet — Jennifer Lame
5. Sound of Metal — Mikkel E. G. Neilsen
6. The Father — Yorgos Lamprinos
7. Promising Young Woman — Frédéric Thoraval
8. News of the World — William Goldenberg
9. Da 5 Bloods — Adam Gough
10. Minari — Harry Yoon
Make-Up & Hairstyling:
1. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
2. Mank
3. Hillbilly Elegy
4. Birds of Prey **SHOULD**
5. Pinocchio
6. The Glorias
7. Emma.
8. The Little Things
9. Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
10. One Night in Miami…
Best Production Design:
1. Mank
2. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
3. News of the World
4. Mulan
5. Emma.
6. Tenet
7. The Midnight Sky
8. The Personal History of David Copperfield
9. Birds of Prey **SHOULD**
10. Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
Best Original Score:
1. Soul — Jon Batiste and Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross **SHOULD**
2. News of the World — James Newton Howard
3. Mank — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross **SHOULD**
4. Tenet — Ludwig Göransson
5. The Midnight Sky — Alexandre Desplat
6. Minari — Emile Mosser
7. The Little Things — Thomas Newman
8. Da 5 Bloods — Terrance Blanchard
9. Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey — John Debney & Michael Diskint
10. The Trial of the Chicago 7 — Daniel Pemberton
Best Original Song:
1. “Speak Now” (One Night in Miami) — Music & Lyrics by Sam Ashworth and Leslie Odom Jr.; Performed by Leslie Odom Jr.
2. “Fight for You” (Judas and the Black Messiah) — Music & Lyrics by d’Mile and Tiara Thomas; Performed by H.E.R.
3. “Lo Si (Seen)” (The Life Ahead) — Music & Lyrics by Niccólo Agliardi, Laura Pausini, and by Diane Warren; Arr. by David Campbell; Performed by Laura Pausini
4. “Húsavik (Hometown)” (Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga) — Music & Lyrics by Richard Göransson, Savan Kotecha, and Fat Max Gsus; Performed by Will Ferrell, Rachel McAdams, and Molly Sandén **SHOULD**
5. “Hear My Voice” (The Trial of the Chicago 7) — Music by Daniel Pemberton; Lyrics by Daniel Pemberton and Celeste Waithe; Performed by Celeste
6. “Turn Tables” (All In: The Fight to Save Democracy) — Music & Lyrics by Janelle Monae, George A. Peters II, and Nate ‘Rocket’ Wonder; Performed by Janelle Monae
7. “Wuhan Flu” (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) — Writing credits in dispute; Performed by Sasha Baron Cohen and the Warren G. Hardings
8. “Rain Song” (Minari) — Music & Lyrics by Stefanie Y. Hong and Emile Mosseri; Performed by Yeri Han and Emile Mosseri
9. “Make It Work” (Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey) — Music & Lyrics by John Legend (as John Stevens); Performed by Anika Noni Rose and Forest Whitaker
10. “Green” (Sound of Metal) — Written & Performed by Abraham Marder
Best Sound:
1. Sound of Metal
2. Mank
3. The Midnight Sky
4. News of the World
5. Tenet
6. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
7. United States vs Billie Holiday
8. Soul
9. Da 5 Bloods
10. Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga **SHOULD**
Best Visual Effects:
1. Tenet
2. The Midnight Sky
3. Mulan
4. Mank
5. Soul **SHOULD**
6. Birds of Prey
7. Welcome to Chechnya
8. The One and Only Ivan
9. Bloodshot
10. Love and Monsters
Best Animated Film:
1. Soul (Disney/Pixar)
2. Wolfwalkers (Cartoon Saloon/Apple) **SHOULD BY A LOT**
3. Over the Moon (Netflix)
4. Onward (Disney/Pixar)
5. Shawn the Sheep: Farmageddon (Aardman/Amazon)
6. Earwig and the Witch (Studio Ghibli/G-Kids/HBOMAX)
7. The Croods: A New Age (Universal)
8. The Willoughbys (Netflix)
9. Trolls: World Tour (Universal)
10. Bombay Rose (Cinestaan/Netflix)
Best Documentary Feature:*
1. Time (Amazon)
2. Dick Johnson is Dead (Netflix)
3. Welcome to Chechnya (HBO/HBOMAX)
4. Collective (Magnolia)
5. Boys State (Apple)
6. My Octopus Teacher (Netflix)
7. The Painter and the Thief (Neon)
8. All In: The Fight for Democracy (Amazon)
9. Crip Camp (Netflix)
10. Truffle Hunters (Sony Classics)
Best International Feature:*
1. Another Round (Denmark; Danish)
2. Two of Us (France; French/German)
3. Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina; Bosnian/Dutch/English/Serbian)
4. La Llorona (Guatemala; Spanish/Kaqchikel)
5. Night of Kings (Ivory Coast; French/Dyula)
6. I’m No Longer Here (Mexico; Spanish)
7. The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia; Arabic/French/English)
8. Charlatan (Czech Republic/Czech)
9. A Sun (Taiwan; Mandarin Chinese)
10. Collective (Romania; Romanian)
11. The Mole Agent (Chile; Spanish)
12. Dear Comrades! (Russia; Russian)
13. Hope (Norway; Norwegian/Swedish)
14. Better Days (Hong Kong; Mandarin Chinese/English)
15. Sun Children (Iran; Persian/Arabic)
16. Minari (United States: English/Korean) **…it Better Not Be**
* I haven’t seen enough of the nominees to offer a meaningful recommendation/opinion.
